The Rhythm of Volatility: Calm and Turbulence Come in Turns
INFINOX
2026-08-17 03:31
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Volatility does not flow in one direction only; it narrows and widens over and over. The longer the quiet stretch, the larger the expansion that follows tends to be, but it does not tell you the direction.
- Contraction is only a hint about the size of the move, not grounds for a direction.
- A wick that grazes the boundary line and a break by a confirmed close are different things.
- In an expansion stretch the stop loss distance widens as well, so the size has to be recalculated.
- In fast-moving stretches the fill price can differ from the plan.
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